Sociologist Steven Pinker has demonstrated that in fact violence has been reducing over the millenia. China has moved in a truly global direction and is on a pathway that was triggered, and then further stimulated, by Premier Deng Xiaoping who started the process in the mid-1980s. Even if an invasion of mainland Australia is a remote possibility, displaying an enhanced capacity to defend the mainland is an effective deterrent in its own right. April 29, 2022 - 5:54AM Australia will probably be at war with China by the end of the decade, a leading foreign policy expert has said. Nevertheless, Britain still gained what it needed and the British people benefited the middle-class continued. The two-minute-long advert suggests that the Chinese government has been working with Australian politicians in buying businesses on the countrys shores. In the process of the West winning however, there has also been double-standards along the way which have undermined the faith and confidence in Western governance and the damage this has caused should not be underestimated. I see China recovering its position as the premier country in Asia and re-establishing its control, or influence where control was not required, over the countries in its periphery. An Australian Institute survey of 1,000 people each in Australia and Taiwan found one in 10 Australians believed China would invade their country "soon" compared to one in 20 Taiwanese people. Former airforce pilot in CHILLING warning over airstrip AN AIRSTRIP in the arid Australian desert could be used for a full-scale invasion from China. And moreover, it has used force in the process of making nations adhere to Western principles. Agree with all comments . Such a distribution of both human and physical core infrastructure offers a technologically advanced and militarily superior adversary a multitude of opportunities, ranging from political-military blackmail in times of heightened geopolitical crisis, to limited or large-scale offensive operations in times of war. Another important contributing factor, which a possible adversary is likely to take into account, is the combined fighting potential of the ADF. (including Australia). As at 2001 Chinas population comprised approximately 21% of the world. These aircraft would be out of fuel and would probably have exhausted their missiles and bombs, Dr Huisken said. Dr Strobe Driver reports. The present Lambie redneck doctrine of Invasion by China or Indonesia harks back to Menzies and his yellow peril election Arrows and like the Menzies arrows Lambies redneck doctrine is just a ploy to stay elected. These are among the powerful predictions the world looks set to face as it comes to grip with new powers, financial slowdowns and emerging economies. And correspondingly, where to place the US? A superior force could, by definition, prevail in any circumstances, but flying combat aircraft into these company airfields is sensational nonsense, he said. they wont need to invade, they will own us. 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Adding to that, some of these hubs house core elements of critical infrastructure, including major defence installations (among them bases and headquarters). The problems that will influence the US lack of enthusiasm to intervene in the A-P will range from the sheer distance from the US and of it being a China-controlled environment; intractable domestic and regional dealings with Mexico and the South Americas associated with drugs, migration and political trends; the combined economic, geo-political and in some cases geo-strategic influences of what has become colloquially known as the BRICS, (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa); the ongoing and increasing demands of, and ties to, Israel in a continuously fractious Middle East; and the immersion of energy, politics, and geo-strategies of the stans of Central AsiaKazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan and Afghanistan. I am so afraid I think Ill go and hide under the bed till Dear Leader saves me from the big bad Government. China will be a vastly different case to what the West has previously encountered and then dominated, as it has adopted the Wests interests in being a regional as well as global controller and therefore the case of China is completely different than what has gone before in the power-stakes of the twentieth century. News By Simon Green Assistant Editor (Digital) 15:20, 15 FEB 2019 Updated 20:17, 15 FEB 2019 Video Loading United Australia Party leader warns of Chinese takeover Australia's forces are dwarfed by China's People's Liberation Army Credit: AFP. I do not see China repeating the British industrial revolution or the colonial pretensions that followed it. One thing is for sure, China does not need to invade Australia. Offensive strike can be interpreted as a series of limited or larger scale prolonged long-distance kinetic and cyber offensive actions, conducted remotely. How are we going to survive if we deliberately ignore threats for fear of offending someone? Now, try to find out where all our Gold and other more precious commodities have been going and then why our Conservative US backed Governments have sold out our Reserves? Australia has no political leader capable of seeing the futility of following the US line in Asia. Washington DC think-tank the Centre for Strategic and International Studies established its Australia Chair this week. Secondly, China deploys a long-range strike capability (conventional and unconventional), which allows it to target Australia. AAP/AP/Ritchie B. Tongo. "China need not attempt to invade Australia to subdue it," Mr Shugart warns. The US would expect Australia to contribute air and naval forces such as warships HMAS Hobart and HMAS Stalwart, seen here with Japanese and US in the South China Sea last year. But its most chilling claim is around a small airport built in West Australias remote northwest. For Australia the decisions that will have to be made, in order to totally avoid an outbreak of war one in which Australia for all intent and purposes will inevitably lose and one that would encourage a ground invasion by Chinese forces is where to place China as these regional machinations increase? 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Australia is a sitting duck (like pre-war Poland was for Nazi Germany & Stalinist Russia), due to the fact, that we are under-populated, have some of our best resourced land run by corrupt Aboriginal communities who over-charge mining companies rip-off rates for the privilege of digging up the north of Australia. Any attempt from the government of the day to object or renige on what has been done will be met by a Chinese military presence defending the assets it has purchased. Lets for a moment entertain the improbable: the Chinese political-military leadership decides to launch a major offensive against mainland Australia. The Battle of Guadalcanal (ie, Solomon Islands) between August 1942 and February 1942 was the first major land offensive undertaken by the Allied forces, including Australia and the US, against Japan, resulting in over 26,000 deaths and the loss of 57 warships and almost 1,300 aircraft. Youll like it even more knowing that your donation will help us to keep up the good fight. These past weeks have seen Clive Palmer MP berate the Peoples Republic of China (PRC) government and other (Chinese) that have had business dealings with him. Driven by the need to close the capability gap with their Russian counterparts, with which the PLA trains regularly and takes its inspiration from, it will be some time before its Airborne Corps will be able to support long distance strategic assault operations. November 9, 2021, 6:22 AM. And the gold and silver theyve vacuumed up in recent years rise in value more than enough to offset their depreciating Treasury bonds. Nevertheless, being a minister of parliament does demand a level of tact and discretion that was obviously lacking on the night in question and there has been some repercussions, but other than hurt feelings not much more seems to have eventuated an apology was forthcoming and all appears smooth again. [11] An historical comparison can be made here which befits the Wests pattern, and in doing so offers the growth of China another perspective and the inherent dangers for the West. China's ambassador to Australia says Canberra should be wary of its relationship with Japan, reminding them that Japanese troops attacked Australia during World War II and could do the same again. Ill give a dollar to anyone who actually read all that. Taiwanese . Historical Statistics. But the nation is not in a good place. China could invade Taiwan later this year, top Navy officer warns By Caitlin Doornbos October 21, 2022 12:14pm Updated 0 of 58 secondsVolume 0% 00:00 00:58 China could invade Taiwan as. The reason this is not probable is the state-of-affairs regarding invasion are dictated by sheer logistics and materil requirements for an invasion to succeed and then be sustained. Its how you play with your mind not weapons that matters. From this point it is obvious that if China were able to establish a greater military presence in Indonesia exercising control over Australia would be more able to be achieved although this would more likely be the strangulation of access to shipping- and air-traffic in the region, regardless of whether it is military or mercantile, as this tactic would essentially render Australia fiscally and militarily decapitated in the region. Finally, the PLA seriously lacks operational combat experience, including in managing expeditionary operations. In the context of this analysis an attack includes an actual attempt to deploy adversarial offensive military power on Australias shores. Australia has been warned to expect a Chinese "strategic surprise" in 2022. Whoops that cant be right. Its attempts to economically coerce Australia into its geopolitical orbit should disturb. At any rate Australia is in trouble. Hence, China will, like the Spanish, French, British and Americans before it, have to use extramural preponderance to get what it needs for its populace. The petrodollar became the currency in which oil and most other goods were traded internationally, requiring every central bank and major corporation to hold a lot of dollars and cementing the greenbacks status as the worlds reserve currency. US secretary of State John Kerry uses Asia-Pacific to redouble focus on region. Australia Network News, 14 August, 2014 http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-08-14/john-kerry-focuses-on-pivot-to-asia-pacific-at-end-of-region/5671992?section=world. If the Chinese could not bring fuel, spare parts and munitions to these airfields the aircraft would immediately be candidates for the war museum in Canberra.. In short, Senator Lambies outburst is largely accurate, premature perhaps, but based on British and American preponderance, accurate nevertheless. What is happening in China, and has been exponentially expanding in the past decade, is the PRC has set about accomplishing exactly what the West has done for centuries: developing a strong middle-class. China is Australia's largest trading partner, making up 30 per . Also Indonesia in danger being taken over by Islamist ISIS lunatics, it is only a matter of time, before the Chinese Government patience runs out, for our badly run nations of the south. Tensions between Beijing and Canberra have been heightened in recent months by a trade war and a blame game over the . This factor, in the first instance is where there are ongoing and developing difficulties. Is Australia really in danger of being invaded? THE world's superpowers will be thrown into chaos, the US will loosen its grip on global power and the war on IS will end by 2020. Australia ignores this threat at its own peril. The question of what type of war the ADF should be prepared to fight represents one of the ongoing points of debate in Canberra and beyond. No Australian Government can or could begin this journey to peace as all the present shitstems operations are to fuel war cause war is big business. Blunt threats made in Chinese mainstream media, and more recent remarks by an Australian senator- that the ADF is unlikely to last even a few days in a high-end conflict with China - warrant yet another examination of Australias strategic circumstances and the likelihood of an attack on mainland Australia. The way in which this has happened includes both military and political realms: the forcing of democracy on Japan at the end of World War Two (WWII) by the US and Allied powers; winning the Korean War by United Nations forces; and the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1989. New York: Monthly Review Press, 2002, 217. Everyone is doing it hard at present. Chuck in a few bucks and see just how far it goes! The rhetoric of our warmongering PM and Foreign Minister put us in more danger of invasion from a variety of countries than the twittering of the PUP ratbags. Long March Out of China. The Australian, Melbourne: Murdoch Media, 19 August, 2014, 9. Australia has fallen out with China in recent years over significant geopolitical issues, including Beijing's territorial ambitions in the South China Sea and the COVID-19 pandemic. There ya go. What the hell have we done? China must be offered a bigger role in the Asia-Pacific. The Age, Melbourne: Fairfax Publishing Ltd, 10 June, 2014, 16. We pay our respect to Elders past and present and extend that respect to all Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples. The importance of outposts and the enhanced capabilities they offer can be seen through Britain in the Falkland Islands/Islas Malvinas, the US in Guam, Diego Garcia and the United Arab Emirates. Have seen the legal document but forget where to locate it. The point for Australians to understand is it is a WWII-based belief to assume that the US will come to Australias aid immediately, or as a follow-up to any Chinese show of force. thank goodness Irvine is retiring before he starts some form of Hitler Youth thing to spy on their neighbours. The question of fuel deposits, which has to be replenished regularly, remains. Furthermore, as the US is forced to shift its focus toward Central Asia, the South Americas and Israel, this will make Australia more vulnerable. Analysts say the threat of China on Australia's doorstop isn't about invasion; it's about much more immediate short-term concerns, such as Beijing improving intelligence gathering and monitoring. Reduction of our options, in order to protect a Foreign Interest and our consideration of the other options open to us, is most likely. Doing that will improve the security outlook here by a great measure. Nuh still something wrong. More to the point could we one day become disillusioned with the US and form a stronger alliance with China, India, Brazil and Asia. War with China is just a silly sensationalist drivel. Returning to the initial centrepiece of Lambies argument and notion of whether Australia is in danger of being invaded in the traditional sense of the term. The maximum upload file size: 2 MB. After the next decade for Australia all will not be so secure. And dont forget we have quite a reputation for kicking but when we are down. For Russia, China and India this looks like a win/win. Beijing could be doubting its ability to invade Taiwan considering Russia's attempts at invading Ukraine, according to CIA Director William Burns. It responded with an unprecedented wave of . A superior military air force could, in effect, control all of Western Australias resources in the Pilbara and the North West Shelf gas reserves.. The Xiaoping era would be the first quantum leap into a globalized world and would signal significant domestic and international changes this was defined by Xiaoping as socialism with a Chinese character.[9] China was essentially, thrust into a Western world and it would over time exploit the free market, gain international political astuteness, and in the late-1990s, begin to stamp its geo-strategic authority on the world: the A-P region is its first port-of-call. You can donate through PayPal or credit card via the button below, or donate via bank transfer: Your email address will not be published. What am I missing? The island of about 25 million people, backed by the US and Japan, broke away from the mainland in 1949 when the losers of its civil war fled Mao Zedong's brutal communist regime. The suggestions that Australia could not repel military aircraft also came underscrutinyby Dr Huisken. Russia's invasion of Ukraine is a reminder of how quickly the . Fairfax Media: Melbourne, 11 August, 2011, 13. [6] Paul Monk. A sad state of affairs. On April 25, the symbolic date of Anzac Day, when Australia honors its war dead, newly appointed Defense Minister Peter Dutton said a conflict with China over Taiwan shouldn't "be discounted,". Dear Jaquie, please define what you consider to be statesmanship. Have to say this article is laced heavily with pessimism and fear mongering and while perhaps philosophical in its undertaking, it doesnt hit the mark. China to INVADE Australia? 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